11/20/16: Dolphins at Rams – Game Analysis, and Betting Prediction
In one of the least interesting games on tap for Week 11, the Miami Dolphins head to Los Angeles to take on the struggling Rams, and rookie quarterback Jared Goff.
Yes, if you haven’t heard, the Rams #1 draft pick will finally get the chance to take his talents to the NFL.
Big Day for Ray Finkle
After starting the season 1-4, the Dolphins have put together 4 straight wins. The 2 main reasons for their success? The health of their offensive line, and their defense. While the defense remains intact (kind of), they’ll be without 3x Pro-Bowl Center – Mike Pouncey, and 2x Pro-Bowl Tackle – Branden Albert… Not good.
I’m not sure if you remember the Dolphins offense pre-Week 6 (when their o-line got healthy), but I do, and they were horrendous. Tannehill was constantly under duress, their run game was non-existent, and they averaged 17.6 points per game. That’s the offense I expect to see Sunday.
This Can’t Be What Los Angeles Waited 22 Years For
Let’s flip the script, and take a look at the Rams offense… Did I mention Jared Goff is starting? According to Head Coach Jeff Fisher, he hasn’t been ready to play all season, but miraculously, he figured it out this week and somehow is ready to go. Awesome.
He takes over the Rams high-powered offense – averaging a league worst 15.4 points per game. While it’s hard to imagine him making matters much worse, it’s equally hard to imagine him making things better.
Teams have loaded the box all season to stop Todd Gurley, and that won’t change. The Dolphins will force Goff to throw, and they just caused Philip Rivers to throw 4 interceptions. Not a good sign.
If I’m sounding a bit negative, it’s because I am. I don’t see either team putting up many points in this game. Both defenses rank in the Top- 15 in points allowed, and neither offense gives me reason to believe this will be a high-scoring affair.
The Rams have won 2 games this season without scoring a touchdown, and I wouldn’t be surprised if this is the 3rd. This should be a defensive struggle, and for my fantasy fans, you can start either defense with confidence.
If I had to call it, I’d say the final score is MIA: 13 – LA: 17, but I’m not confident in Goff at all… I’m taking the under.
Pick: Under 40 (-120)
As always, be sure to check me out on Instagram/Facebook: maximizeyourodds, and Twitter: maxingyourodds or shoot me an email: firstname.lastname@example.org for betting picks, and/or fantasy advice.