J! E! T! S! Jets! Jets! Seahawks? – Week 4 NFL Cover of the Week

The Seahawks travel 2,394 miles to East Rutherford in a matchup between teams who haven’t quite lived up to expectations this season. The Jets came into this season looking to contend with the Patriots for the AFC East title, while the Seahawks looked to reclaim their NFC West crown, and make another deep playoff run. Fast-forward four weeks into the season, and the Jets sit two games behind the Brady-less Pats, and the Seahawks are tied with the Rams?! Yes, the Rams – the same Rams who beat them in Week 2 – for the NFC West lead… The struggles are real.

High-flying, high-powered, high-altitude Jets offense?

I ran out of metaphors, but there’s one noticeable difference about the Jets… they can score points. Kind of. The off-season addition of Matt Forte, the re-signing of Ryan Fitzpatrick, their dynamic duo at wide receiver of Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker – no longer are these the grind it out, beat ’em up Jets. They’ve dominated in the trenches, allowing only 2 sacks on the season, and allowing Forte and co. to average 4.45 yards per carry… Yet, they’re 22nd in the league in points at 20.7 per game?  And, they’ll be without Decker on Sunday?

Can the Seahawks play 11-on-11?

Much is made about Seattle’s home field advantage – their “12th man” – and rightfully so. Since 2014, the Seahawks have gone 14-4 at home, while going 10-7 on the road… This game is in New York.

Who wins, and why?

Without Decker, and facing the Legion of Boom, it’s hard to imagine Fitzpatrick bouncing back from last week’s embarrassing performance. Brandon Marshall is good for a few plays, but I don’t see the Jets offense getting off the ground (ah, there’s another metaphor). Speaking of the ground, the Seahawks are allowing only 3.31 yards per carry, and have one of the best run defenses in the league… I don’t see where the Jets offense comes from in this one.

On the Seattle side, Wilson comes in battling a myriad of leg injuries, and his offensive line hasn’t done him any favors. He’s been sacked 7 times (7th most), and the Jets are tied for the 4th most sacks. There’s a good chance his mobility is limited, so he’ll have difficulty evading the pressure this Jets front seven is sure to present. The Jets have one of the best run defenses in the game, and Seattle’s run game has been average at best, but… there’s one glaring mismatch; the Jets secondary vs. Seattle’s passing offense.

That’s the difference in this one. While Wilson should see plenty of pressure, the Jets passing defense has been exposed all year. I don’t expect Wilson to throw it all around the yard, but he’ll make enough plays, and the Jets just won’t have the ability to match them on the scoreboard. This game should be tightly contested, but ultimately, the Seahawks have too much pedigree, and will find a way to win this one down the stretch.

Prediction: SEA 16 – NYJ 13
Seahawks -1 (Take the under as well)

 

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