Do You Remember the Patriots Not Being Good?

The Gambler’s Power Rankings – Week 8

Well, do you? I do.

The year was 2000 – the first season of the Belichick/Brady union – and fresh off the Pete Carroll era. 17 years later, nothing was the same… Y2k makes a lot more sense now.

*The Gambler’s Power Rankings focuses on a team’s record against the spread, but also factors win-loss records, statistical performance, and schedule strength (amongst other factors) to determine where all 32 NFL teams stand.

1. New England Patriots (Last Rank: 2)
Record: 6-1
Record ATS: 6-1

They’re the best, period. Now that they’re healthy, and off suspension, it’s hard to see them falling off.

2. Dallas Cowboys (Last Rank: 7)
Record: 5-1
Record ATS: 5-1

Granted, the Packers aren’t the Packers we’ve grown used to, but going into Lambeau, and dominating, is a tough task for any team. Teams that dominate the line of scrimmage, tend to cover spreads, and the Cowboys are a prime example.

3. Minnesota Vikings (Last Rank: 1)
Record: 6-1
Record ATS: 6-1

I’m not putting too much stock into that loss at Philadelphia, but their lack of a running game could prove problematic.

4. Denver Broncos (Last Rank: 5)
Record: 5-2
Record ATS: 5-2

After losing two straight, the Broncos bounced back by handling up on Houston. Their offense is still a question mark, but who cares? They sucked last year too.

5. Seattle Seahawks (Last Rank: 9)
Record: 4-1-1
Record ATS: 3-3

After a slow start, the Seahawks look to have righted the ship. Health is a major concern, however.

6. San Diego Chargers (Last Rank: 15)
Record: 3-4
Record ATS: 5-2

Philip Rivers’ passion has been contagious, and if this team does anything, it’s compete. Although they lose consistently, they cover consistently. Oh, and Joey Bosa looks good.

7. Philadelphia Eagles (Last Rank: 8)
Record: 4-2
Record ATS: 4-2

Inconsistent. At Dallas, at New York, home vs. Atlanta, at Seattle… We’ll soon see what they’re really about.

8. Atlanta Falcons (Last Rank: 4)
Record: 4-3
Record ATS: 5-2

Here we go again… They’ve lost two straight, but don’t expect them to fall off like the did last season. Their pass rush is much improved, they’ve controlled the line of scrimmage, and they have a decent turnover margin. They’ll continue to be a good bet.

9. Green Bay Packers (Last Rank: 6)
Record: 4-2
Record ATS: 3-2-1

That home matchup against the Bears could be just what this offense needed. We’ll see if it carries over, but at least Rodgers showed he still has the ability to be Rodgers.

10. Oakland Raiders (Last Rank: 10)
Record: 5-2
Record ATS: 4-3

I’m still hesitant to completely buy into the Raiders. Call it luck, or call it preparation, the ball always seems to bounce their way, and eventually that will balance itself out… Right?

11. Pittsburgh Steelers (Last Rank: 3)
Record: 4-3
Record ATS: 4-3

If only this team could stay healthy. The bye week comes right on time.

 12. New Orleans Saints (Last Rank: 21)
Record: 2-4
Record ATS: 3-2-1

Like the Chargers, they compete. They might not be great record wise, but they’re never out of a game. What more can you ask for?

13. Buffalo Bills (Last Rank: 11)
Record: 4-3
Record ATS: 4-3

I feel like this is too high, but, there’s really no one else to go here. I don’t trust this team… or Rex Ryan.

14. Detroit Lions (Last Rank: 26)
Record: 4-3
Record ATS: 4-3

Stafford is playing some of the best football of his career, and don’t look now, but Detroit has won three straight… And against decent squads.

15. Arizona Cardinals (Last Rank: 14)
Record: 3-3-1
Record ATS: 3-4

Their offense is still struggling, but their defense is one of the best. They’ll be alright.

16. Washington Redskins (Last Rank: 16)
Record: 4-3
Record ATS: 4-3

Every time I want to believe in the ‘Skins, they lose a game they shouldn’t lose. And, their schedule is pretty tough down the stretch.

17. Houston Texans (Last Rank: 12)
Record: 4-3
Record ATS: 3-3-1

Brock Osweiler is shaping up to be one of the worst signings in recent memory, but he’s accomplished something I’ve never seen… He fumbled an incomplete pass.

18. New York Giants (Last Rank: 24)
Record: 4-3
Record ATS: 3-3-1

Having played one of the tougher schedules, the Giants look better than expected. Maybe they can find a pass rush during their bye week.

19. Kansas City Chiefs (Last Rank: 18)
Record: 4-2
Record ATS: 2-3-1

Their best win came at Oakland. Solid, but until they beat one of the top teams, I’m not impressed. They’ve been favored in five of six games, and covered only twice.

20. Cincinnati Bengals (Last Rank: 19)
Record: 3-4
Record ATS: 3-4

They’ve beaten the teams they were supposed to beat, and lost to the teams they were supposed to lose to. Their schedule eases up, but they’ll need start winning some of these non cake match-ups.

21. Los Angeles Rams (Last Rank: 13)
Record: 3-4
Record ATS: 3-4

It’s like they’re destined to finish 8-8. Every year.

22. Miami Dolphins (Last Rank: 31)
Record: 3-4
Record ATS: 3-4

A healthy offensive line has resulted in back-to-back 200 yard games for Jay Ajayi, and they’ve now won two straight; against two of the better teams in the AFC. Keep an eye on the Fins.

23. Indianapolis Colts (Last Rank: 27)
Record: 3-4
Record ATS: 3-3-1

Take the over (they’re 6-1).

24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Last Rank: 25)
Record: 3-3
Record ATS: 3-3

Defense hasn’t been too terrible – at least they’re getting some takeaways – but, that offense though…

25. Jacksonville Jaguars (Last Rank: 22)
Record: 2-4
Record ATS: 3-3

Blake Bortles. Garbage time champion.

26. Baltimore Ravens (Last Rank: 17)
Record: 3-4
Record ATS: 2-5

That injury report is novel-esque.

27. Tennessee Titans (Last Rank: 23)
Record: 3-4
Record ATS: 2-5

They’ve won three of four… They haven’t played anybody.

28. New York Jets (Last Rank: 28)
Record: 2-5
Record ATS: 2-5

The Geno era was fun while it lasted.

29. Carolina Panthers (Last Rank: 20)
Record: 1-5
Record ATS: 1-5

Much has been made about this defense (and rightfully so), but remember how good their offense was last season?!

30. Cleveland Browns (Last Rank: 32)
Record: 0-7
Record ATS: 2-5

Indians are in the World Series, and the Cavs are back… No one cares.

31. Chicago Bears (Last Rank: 29)
Record: 1-6
Record ATS: 1-6

Their defense hasn’t been bad these past four weeks.

32. San Francisco 49ers (Last Rank: 30)
Record: 1-6
Record ATS: 1-6

Three straight overs…

As always, be sure to check me out on Instagram: maximizeyourodds, Facebook: maximizeyourodds, and Twitter: maxingyourodds or shoot me an email: leonard@maximizeyourodds.com for free plays, and/or fantasy advice.

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