Gambler’s NFL Power Rankings – Week 13

Biggest risers: Green Bay Packers – Up 6

Biggest fallers: Houston Texans – Down 6

*The Gambler’s Power Rankings focuses on a team’s record against the spread, but also factors win-loss records, team stats, and schedule strength, to help identify which teams should be favored, and by how much. Higher-ranked teams would be favored against lower-ranked teams, and the larger the gap, the larger the spread (not factoring location, injuries, etc).

1. Dallas Cowboys (Last Week: 1)

Record: 11-1

Record ATS: 9-3

Right, the Boys failed to cover the spread in 2 straight. But, let’s be real, they just played 3 games in 11 days. And 2 of those 3 were against the Ravens, and Vikings – 2 of the best defenses in the league. I’m officially impressed, and I can’t stand the Cowboys.

2. New England Patriots (Last Week: 2)

Record: 9-2

Record ATS: 8-3

Looks like Gronk is done for the season after having surgery to repair a herniated disk in his lower back. Obviously, this hurts, but with Brady and Belichick, it’s hard not to back the Pats.

3. Oakland Raiders (Last Week: 4)

Record: 9-2

Record ATS: 7-4

The Raiders have won 5 straight, and covered the spread in 4 of 5 (the 5th was a technicality as they won by 3 on a 3.5 point spread). Mark your calendars, or keep up with the times, and set a reminder in your phone since no one really uses calendars anymore (not really sure why I just went back to 1998). 12/8 – 8:25 PM EST: Raiders at Chiefs.

4. Seattle Seahawks (Last Week: 3)

Record: 7-3-1

Record ATS: 6-5

Not putting any stock in that loss at Tampa. The Bucs are hot, and playing confidently. The Seahawks were without several key guys on d… Doesn’t explain the dreadful offense, but it is what it is.

5. Atlanta Falcons (Last Week: 6)

Record: 7-4

Record ATS: 7-4

The Falcons are that girl/guy left at the bar at the end of the night when you’re not trying to go home solo… They’ve won 3 of 4, but only covered the spread twice over their last 5 games. There’s just no one else I can justify putting here.

6. Kansas City Chiefs (Last Week: 11)

Record: 8-3

Record ATS: 5-5-1

The Chiefs pass the eye test, and are one of the best teams in the league. Hands down. They just haven’t had enough offense to cover spreads on a consistent basis.

Their defense, however, is their best offense most weeks. Their as healthy as they’ve been all season, and they’ll be tough to beat.

7. Denver Broncos (Last Week: 5)

Record: 7-4

Record ATS: 7-4

Shout out to Kubiak for going for the W. Tired of all these damn ties. In the NFL, defense can get you where you need to be about as well as Uber, but after a 4-0 start against the spread, the Broncos have only covered in 3 of their last 7.

8. Pittsburgh Steelers (Last Week: 9)

Record: 6-5

Record ATS: 6-5

If the Falcons are that girl/guy left at the bar at the end of the night when you’re not trying to go home solo, the Steelers are that girl/guy’s lonely, unattractive friend that you turn to after the other rejects you.

After losing, and failing to cover, in 4 straight they beat Cleveland, then an Andrew Luck-less Colts squad. They’re finally about as close to full health as they’ll be, however, so this week’s game against the Giants will be a good barometer.

9. Detroit Lions (Last Week: 7)

Record: 7-4

Record ATS: 7-4

I finally figured out the Lions… They haven’t played anyone, and damn near every one of their “tough” games was at home. They’ve been on a nice little roll, but will face a much stiffer challenge this week at New Orleans.

10. Washington Redskins (Last Week: 8)

Record: 6-4-1

Record ATS: 8-3

The Skins opened as 2.5 point underdogs this week at Arizona. They’re 5-1 against the spread this year as a dog.

11. New York Giants (Last Week: 10)

Record: 8-3

Record ATS: 6-4-1

The G Men failed to cover the spread at home against Chicago, then allowed Cleveland to hang around far too long. They’re not quite amongst the elite… And far from a safe bet.

I know, they’ve won 6 straight, and covered in 5 of those 6, but look at who they played then get back to me.

12. New Orleans Saints (Last Week: 12)

Record: 5-6

Record ATS: 7-3-1

The Saints have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games, and are 5 points, and a white cleat away from being 5-0 in those games. Luck has been a lady, a lady which doesn’t favor the Saints all season.

13. Miami Dolphins (Last Week: 15)

Record: 7-4

Record ATS: 6-4-1

They’ve won, and covered (depending on when you took it) 6 straight, they also didn’t really play anyone over that stretch. I’m not buying the hype, but they’re slightly better than alright.

14. San Diego Chargers (Last Week: 14)

Record: 5-6

Record ATS: 7-4

I can’t remember the last time I wrote something other than the Chargers are the Saints. Don’t plan on changing that now.

15. Minnesota Vikings (Last Week: 17)

Record: 6-6

Record ATS: 7-5

The Vikings have now lost 6 of 7, covering the spread just twice – for those keeping track. The good news is their defense looked dominant again these past 2 weeks.

16. Baltimore Ravens (Last Week: 20)

Record: 6-5

Record ATS: 5-6

If the Chargers, and Saints are the same team, so too are the Ravens, and Vikings. 

17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Last Week: 19)

Record: 6-5

Record ATS: 6-5

The Bucs defense is finally showing its promise… 3 years later. Granted, neither Chicago or Kansas City possess anything close to the semblance of a prolific offense, Seattle does, and they just made them look JV.

18. Buffalo Bills (Last Week: 18)

Record: 6-5

Record ATS: 5-6

Sammy Watkins is back, and that excites me. Apparently, his foot is still broken, and that impresses me. The Ryans still make millions, and that confuses me.

19. Houston Texans (Last Week: 13)

Record: 6-5

Record ATS: 5-5-1

Their 6 wins have come against teams with a combined 30-37 record, and their 5 losses came to New England, Minnesota, Denver, Oakland, and San Diego… By an average of 16 points.

20. Green Bay Packers (Last Week: 26)

Record: 5-6

Record ATS: 5-5-1

The Packers opened as 6 point favorites this week at home against the Texans. Seems a bit high, but it’ll be interesting to see who’s worse: the Packers defense, or the Texans offense.

21. Philadelphia Eagles (Last Week: 16)

Record: 5-6

Record ATS: 5-6

…. Probably the Texans offense. Philly’s offense just made the Packers d look decent (yes, I’m still on the Packers), and Houston’s offense wishes to one day be as inept as the Eagles.

The Texans, well Osweiler, are averaging a league worst 5.4 yards per pass attempt. Philly, well Wentz, is 6th worst at 6.2. Wait, Chargers=Saints, and Ravens=Vikings… Are the Eagles the Texans? Yep, they most certainly are.

22. Indianapolis Colts (Last Week: 21)

Record: 5-6

Record ATS: 5-5-1

Pat McAfee is hilarious. Check him out @PatMcAfeeShow

23. Tennessee Titans (Last Week: 22)

Record: 6-6

Record ATS: 4-8

They’re killing my AFC South Champion prediction with the 2 losses to the Colts, but they’re also still 2nd, a game back of Houston in the L column. That won’t help you win any bets, but I enjoy being right.

24. Carolina Panthers (Last Week: 24)

Record: 4-7

Record ATS: 3-7-1

They opened Week 13 as the underdog for the 2nd straight week, and only the 2nd time this season. They’re 1-0 against the spread as a dog this season, and 23-16 ATS as a dog since Cam came into the league in 2011 (7th best record over that time).

25. Los Angeles Rams (Last Week: 23)

Record: 4-7

Record ATS: 4-6-1

Man, for a half, I thought Goff had it figured out… Then, they played the 2nd half. They’ve lost straight up, and against the spread, in 6 of 7. Put me at QB, won’t make a difference. I’m nice, by the way.

26. Arizona Cardinals (Last Week: 25)

Record: 4-6-1

Record ATS: 3-8

The last time the Cardinals covered a spread, the Indians were up 3-0 in the ALCS, people were preparing for Halloween, and Donald Trump was a long-shot to win the Presidency… A month and a half is a long time.

27. New York Jets (Last Week: 27)

Record: 3-8

Record ATS: 4-7

The Jets have been surprisingly competitive in recent weeks. For whatever that’s worth.

28. Jacksonville Jaguars (Last Week: 29)

Record: 2-9

Record ATS: 5-6

Paxton Lynch is starting for Denver this week. If the Jags don’t take advantage, and win this one, I don’t see a winnable game left on their schedule. The race for the #2 pick is real.

29. Cincinnati Bengals (Last Week: 28)

Record: 3-7-1

Record ATS: 3-8

If Cleveland is going to win a game this season, it’s week 14 against the Bengals…

30. Chicago Bears (Last Week: 30)

Record: 2-9

Record ATS: 4-7

Matt Barkley actually didn’t look half bad against the Titans. They play San Francisco this week… The #2 pick bowl.

31. San Francisco 49ers (Last Week: 31)

Record: 1-10

Record ATS: 2-8-1

The 49ers are 2.5 point favorites this week at Chicago. If they win, and Jacksonville loses, we’ll have three 2-10 teams. I don’t know why, but I’m obsessed with this race for the #2 pick.

32. Cleveland Browns (Last Week: 32)

Record: 0-12

Record ATS: 2-10

Will we see RG3 again this season?

As always, be sure to check me out on Instagram/Facebook: maximizeyourodds, and Twitter: maxingyourodds or shoot me an email: leonard@maximizeyourodds.com for betting picks, and/or fantasy advice.

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