*Tier 1: $7,000+, Tier 2: $7,000-$6,000, Tier 3: Under $6,000
Tier 1: Tom Brady – NE vs. NYJ ($7,700)
Andrew Luck lit up the Jets for 4 TDS in Week 13, and Matt Moore just did the same last week… Yes, Matt Moore who hadn’t started a game since ’11. The Pats are 17 point favorites, at home, looking to clinch home field advantage, and Tom Brady isn’t exactly Matt Moore (or Luck).
Tier 2: Cam Newton – CAR vs. ATL ($6,600)
Disappointing season for Cam and the Panthers, but if they showed me anything last week, they’re not giving up just yet. Deion Jones pulled a Craig, and had Cam laid out like Deebo in Week 4… I doubt he forgot. He had his best passing game of the season last week, and I expect him to keep rolling, as the Panthers look to play spoiler.
Tier 3: Blake Bortles – TEN @ JAC ($5,000)
The Titans pass d has been disastrous. Over the past 3 weeks, they’ve given up the 5th most passing yards per game – 268.3… Naturally, they played passing juggernauts Chicago, Denver, and KC. On the flip side, 63.4% of the Jags plays from scrimmage have been passes, resulting in 5th most passing attempts for Bortles. He’ll put up numbers, you just have to pray he doesn’t turn it over multiple times.
*Tier 1: $7,000+, Tier 2: $7,000-$5,000, Tier 3: Under $5,000
Tier 1: LeSean McCoy – BUF vs. MIA ($9,000)
There’s an abundance of value in the lower tiers this week, but if you just have to go big money at RB, McCoy is your guy. Miami has allowed an average of 133.7 rushing yards per game over their last 3, McCoy has gone over 100 yards in 3 of his last 4, and he’s being consistently targeted out of the backfield as well – averaging over 4 receptions per game over that same timeframe.
Tier 2: Jordan Howard – CHI vs. WAS ($6,300)
Howard has been beasting – going for at least 75 rush yards in 7 straight, and 100 all-purpose yards in 4 – and gets a middle of the pack Redskins run d this week. Matt Barkley has shown the ability to air it out, and the return of Alshon Jeffery only helps to prevent teams from loading up the box. The usage is there, as is the matchup… Howard’s in line for another Top-10 day.
Tier 3: Mark Ingram – NO vs. TB ($4,400)
No, the Saints haven’t been officially eliminated for the playoffs, but they’ll need a loooooot of help. However, they do have control over one thing… Winning out – and that starts this week vs. TB. Just 14 days ago, the Bucs held Ingram to 14 yards on 7 carries, as they beat the Saints 16-11. It’ll be a tough task containing this offense twice in the same season, and the oddsmakers agree with the opening total set at 52.5.
*Tier 1: $7,000+, Tier 2: $7,000-$5,000, Tier 3: Under: $5,000
Tier 1: Julio Jones – ATL @ CAR ($8,100)
He’s matchup-proof, yet facing a cake matchup, and Matt Ryan playing is on a MVP level. When Julio plays, you want him in your lineup. Period. And, the Falcons have entirely too much to play for, to risk playing him if he’s not ready. Don’t overthink it.
Tier 2: Alshon Jeffery – CHI vs. WAS ($6,300)
Jeffery saw 9 targets in his return from suspension last week, and Barkley hasn’t been shy to air it out – averaging a 10th best 270.5 passing yards per game over his last 4. The Redskins secondary has been a mess, and have allowed the most passing yards per game since Week 13. Not expecting that to change today.
Tier 3: Marqise Lee – JAC vs. TEN ($4,300)
I’m not buying into last week’s dud from the Jags passing attack, but even if I was, a matchup against Tennessee is exactly what they’d need to get back on track. In Week 8 at Tennessee, Bortles went for 337 yards, and 3 TDs… While expecting a repeat performance seems a bit optimistic, Bortles shouldn’t have much trouble putting up numbers, and Lee has been his #1 guy as of late.
*Tier 1: $5,500+, Tier 2: $5,500-$3,500, Tier 3: Under $3,500
Tier 1: N/A
Tier 2: Greg Olsen – CAR vs. ATL ($5,200)
Olsen hasn’t seen fewer than 5 targets since Week 8, but has been hindered by Newton’s inconsistent play. However, as I mentioned above, I like Newton this week. Newton balls. Olsen balls… It’s inevitable. Especially against the Falcons, who have struggled against tight ends all season.
Tier 3: Hunter Henry – SD @ CLE ($3,500)
Henry has scored in 3 of the Chargers last 4 games, and a matchup against Cleveland gives him a pretty damn good chance to make it 4 of 5. His yardage totals have been fairly depressing lately, but a matchup against Cleveland gives him a pretty damn good chance to change that.
*Tier 1: $3,500+, Tier 2: $3,500-$3,000, Tier 3: Under $3,000
Tier 1: New England Patriots – vs. NYJ ($3,600)
The Patriots want home field advantage in the playoffs, the Jets could be without their 2 top offensive weapons – Matt Forte (Doubtful), Brandon Marshall (Questionable) – and have been terrible with them, the Pats are allowing a league best 16.6 points per game, and are at home… As 17 point favorites. If the Jets put up 10, it’ll be a Christmas miracle.
Tier 2: Cincinnati Bengals – @HOU ($3,200)
Tom Savage looked better than Osweiler, but not by much, and the Texans will be without starting RB Lamar Miller. The Bengals d has been pretty stingy as of late, and have 11 INTs over their last 8 games… This game also featured the 2nd lowest opening point total – 41.
Tier 3: New Orleans Saints – vs. TB ($2,400)
Not expecting much here, but Winston has a tendency to throw the ball to the other team, and the Saints d has shown signs of aightness. So, if you’re in a bind, not the worst play.
As always, be sure to check me out on Instagram/Facebook: maximizeyourodds, Twitter: maxingyourodds, and/or shoot me an email: firstname.lastname@example.org for additional fantasy advice or betting tips.