DraftKings Starts of the Week – Week 4

I’ve analyzed each of the matchups in Week 4 and come up with the best starts at each position (by salary tier) for your daily fantasy football lineups… Feel free to share your winnings.

Quarterback

*Tier 1: $7,000+, Tier 2: $7,000-$6,000, Tier 3: $6,000-$5,000, Tier 4: Under $5,000

Tier 1: Russell Wilson – SEA vs. IND ($7,300)

The Colts have allowed 283.67 passing yards per game (4th most), 18.06 fantasy points per game to opposing QBs (8th most), and have been surprisingly decent against the run (not that the Seahawks have much of a run game anyway).

After back-to-back disappointments to start the season, Wilson put up 373 yards and 4 TD last week against the Titans – finishing as the week’s #2 fantasy QB. No, it’s not likely he’ll put up 49 pass attempts again, but I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if he came close to matching the production.

Tier 2: Marcus Mariota – TEN at HOU ($6,400)

Mariota has averaged 17.18 fantasy points per game despite facing 2 of the league’s top pass defenses. It’s hard to imagine him not finding success against this Texans secondary which was exposed by Tom Brady last Sunday after being masked by poor QB play the 1st 2 weeks.

Tier 3: Deshaun Watson – HOU vs. TEN ($5,100)

Watson will likely be a very popular play this week, and rightfully so. Typically, I’m not one to buy into hype after 1 game. But, he put up 7.7 fantasy points in a half in Week 1 (against a good d). Then, 17.7 against another good d in Week 2.

It might not always look pretty, but he’s now put up 3 straight impressive fantasy performances. And, with a matchup against Tennessee’s pervious secondary – who’ve allowed an average of 275 yards, 2.3 passing TD, and 20.51 fantasy points per game to QBs – he’ll likely make it 4.

Tier 4: Brian Hoyer – SF at ARI ($4,700)

This Cardinals d is no longer daunting. They’ve allowed 216.33 passing yards per game, which is about average, and the 19.61 fantasy points they’ve allowed per game to opposing QBs is worse than all but 4 teams.

Don’t expect anywhere near the numbers he put up last week, but if you want to go Goodwill at QB, Hoyer is your guy.

Running Back

*Tier 1: $7,000+, Tier 2: $7,000-$6,000, Tier 3: $6,000-$5,000, Tier 4: Under $5,000

Tier 1: LeSean McCoy – BUF at ATL ($8,400)

The Falcons have allowed the 8th fewest rushing yards. So, their run d is straight… Right?

Nah.

Not a single RB has had more than 14 carries against them this season, and that’s clearly the cause of their low yardage total as Atlanta has allowed 4.54 yards per carry, an average of 61 receiving yards per game to opposing RBs, and the 21.33 fantasy points allowed per game to RBs are the 5th most of any team.

The Bills have run the ball more than all but 2 teams through 3 weeks; LeSean should see more than 14 carries on Sunday.

Tier 2: Dalvin Cook – MIN vs. DET ($6,500)

You might have noticed, but my guy Cook is hella nice. What you might not have noticed, is that the Lions have allowed 4.1 yards per carry and an average of 74 receiving yards per game to opposing RBs.

Tier 3: C.J. Anderson – DEN vs. OAK ($5,600)

The Raiders have yet to allow a rushing TD, and Forte’s 53 yards against them in Week 2 are the most they’ve given up on the year. However, Anderson is a Top-10 fantasy back who just averaged 4.5 yards per carry against the Bills (arguably) league-best rushing defense. He’s discounted, and worth the risk.

Tier 4: Jacquizz Rodgers – TB vs. NYG ($4,400)

It’s not likely that the Bucs will find much success through the air. No one has against this Giants d, and that could be why they’ve faced the 2nd most rushing attempts through 3 weeks. Another reason they’ve faced so many rushing attempts? Well, because they can’t stop the run. They’ve allowed 4.3 yards per carry to opposing RBs, Zeke put up 104 in Week 1, Abdullah had 86 in Week 2, and Blount/Smallwood combined for 138 in Week 3.

Don’t let last week scare you away from Quizz; no one runs on the Vikes.

Wide Receiver

*Tier 1: $7,000+, Tier 2: $7,000-$6,000, Tier 3: $6,000-$5,000, Tier 4: Under $5,000

Tier 1: Odell Beckham Jr. – NYG at TB ($8,900)

Despite playing 1 fewer game, the Buccaneers have allowed more passing yards than 14 of the other 30 NFL teams (Miami has also played just 2).

Tier 2: DeVante Parker – MIA vs. NO ($6,700)

There aren’t many better matchups than this Saints defense, Parker has seen 19 targets through 2 games, and while there’s a chance that the Dolphins employ a run heavy approach, this game had the highest opening over/under point total of the week at 50.

Tier 3: Sammy Watkins – LAR at DAL ($5,900)

We might not see another 100+ yard, 2 TD game from Watkins this season. But, the fact that he had that game is the only thing that really matters.

After seeing less targets than Cooper Kupp in Week 1, and seeing less than every Rams receiver not named Josh Reynolds in Week 2, hopefully his explosion in Week 3 is a reflection of his comfort in the offense and rapport with Jared Goff. Regardless, the Cowboys secondary has been pretty generous to opposing passing attacks.

Tier 4: Jordan Matthews – BUF at ATL ($3,900)

The Bills don’t pass much, and as mentioned earlier, McCoy should be in for a huge day. However, Matthews has reached 60 yards in 2 of the Bills 3 games, and I like his chances at finding the end zone this week.

Tight End

*Tier 1: $5,000+, Tier 2: $5,000-$4,000, Tier 3: $4,000-$3,000, Tier 4: Under $3,000

Tier 1: Rob Gronkowski – NE vs. CAR ($6,600)

He’s the best option of this tier, but for maybe the only time this season, I wouldn’t advise rolling with Gronk. The Panthers have yet to allow a TD to a TE, and are allowing the 3rd fewest yards per game to the position – 24.7

Tier 2: Jimmy Graham – SEA vs. IND ($4,900)

The Colts have allowed 15.9 yards per reception to opposing TEs, but they haven’t faced any real threats at the position so their numbers actually look respectable. It’s a mirage. Now, it’s not likely Graham will see 11 targets again this week, but he won’t need many to have a big day.

Tier 3: Jared Cook – OAK at DEN ($3,400)

Cook is seeing an average of 5.6 targets per game, Michael Crabtree is doubtful, and Amari Cooper will seeing plenty of Talib and co… Odds are Cook sees a season-high in targets in this one, and the Broncos have allowed a TE to score in 2 straight games.

Tier 4: Tyler Kroft – CIN at CLE ($2,600)

He might not see many targets, but the Browns have been lit up by TEs in 2 of their 3 games, and Tyler Eifert is still out. Sooooooo, yeah.

Defense/Special Teams

*Tier 1: $3,500+, Tier 2: $3,500-$3,000, Tier 3: Under $3,000

Tier 1: Seattle Seahawks – $4,100

No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing DSTs than the Colts, the opening point total of 41 was the 2nd lowest of the week, and it’s the Seahawks at home.

Tier 2: Cincinnati Bengals – $3,500

Only the Colts have allowed more fantasy points to opposing DSTs than the Browns, the opening point total of 40 was the lowest of the week, and the Bengals have the 9th most fantasy points through 3 weeks.

Tier 3: Detroit Lions – $2,700

On the season, the Vikings have allowed just 3 sacks, and Case Keenum has yet to throw an interception. It’s not the greatest matchup, but with how opportunistic this Lions defense has been, I wouldn’t be surprised if Keenum throws his 1st INT. And, in this price range, there just isn’t another team worth the gamble; besides possibly the Chargers.

Good luck this week, and as always, thanks for reading! Be sure to subscribe, and check me out on Twitter @maxingyourodds

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