Week 17 is easily the toughest week to project, and winning your daily fantasy tournaments will take some luck (even more than usual). So, I’m here to help you with those lineup decisions. You’re welcome. The final DraftKings Starts of the Week for 2016. Sad times…
*Tier 1: $7,000+, Tier 2: $7,000-$6,000, Tier 3: Under $6,000
Tier 1: Drew Brees – NO @ ATL ($7,600)
Although the Saints have nothing to play for, the Falcons do – The 1st round bye. This is a division rivalry, and Brees is one of the fiercest competitors at the QB position. I think this is a tightly contested game, and with an opening total of 56, Vegas is expecting a slew of points.
Brees has had yet another monster year – 4,858 passing yards (1st) to go with 35 TDs (2nd) – and while the Falcons have only allowed 185.3 passing yards over their last 3, they played the Rams, 49ers, and Panthers, so don’t be fooled. They’ve been dreadful all season… Oh, and Brees lit them up for 376 and 3 TDs in Week 3.
Tier 2: Matthew Stafford – DET vs. GB ($6,000)
Couldn’t tell you why, but I feel like the Lions pull off the upset here, and take home their 1st NFC North crown in ever… Kind of. The last time the Lions won the division was 1993, and the division was the NFC Central back then. You decide whether that counts.
Anyway, Stafford is coming off a less than impressive performance at Dallas, and the Lions control their playoff destiny Sunday night. Win, and you’re in. The Packers secondary has been abused all season, and they’ve been grabbing their ankles even more frequently these past few weeks – I don’t expect that to change Sunday night.
Tier 3: Tom Savage – HOU @ TEN ($5,400)
Chances are, the draft percentages for Rodgers, Brady, Brees, Ryan, and Stafford will be crazy high. Rightfully so. Looking to go a different route? Savage is your guy.
He looked aight against Jacksonville, and his 2nd half against Cincy was solid… Tennessee isn’t Jacksonville or Cincinnati. He’s a sneaky good play based on the matchup alone, but I have a feeling the Texans want every possible opportunity to get him ready for the playoffs, and I think he shows out.
*Tier 1: $7,000+, Tier 2: $7,000-$5,000, Tier 3: Under $5,000
Tier 1: LeSean McCoy – BUF @ NYJ ($8,900)
The Bills players haven’t been the least bit hesitant in voicing their dissatisfaction in former Head Coach – Rex Ryan, so any talk of them not getting up for whoever the interim guy is, I find a bit misguided. I expect the Bills to come out, and prove a point. Just a gut feeling.
Only Le’Veon Bell has more rushing yards than McCoy over the past 4 weeks, and only 6 teams have allowed more rushing yards than the Jets over that same timeframe. Offense takes a step back with Manuel under center, but not enough for me to fade McCoy.
*DraftKings Start of the Week*
Tier 2: DeAngelo Williams – PIT vs. CLE ($5,500)
Even if Toussaint eats into his workload, when given his chance over the past 2 seasons, DeAngelo has proven he’s more than capable of putting up RB1 numbers… And if you haven’t noticed, the Browns are bad regardless.
Tier 3: Charcandrick West – KC @ SD ($4,100)
Remember him?! Spencer Ware is dealing with a rib injury, and has practiced on a limited basis all week. If he’s not fully healthy, makes sense to hold him out, and prepare for the playoffs. Or at the least, limit his touches. That said, West received 14 carries in Week 16, should be in line for an expanded role against the Chargers porous run d, and could be the clearance play that wins you a few DraftKings contests this weekend.
*Tier 1: $7,000+, Tier 2: $7,000-$5,000, Tier 3: Under: $5,000
Tier 1: Julio Jones – ATL vs. NO ($8,400)
Mentioned this game earlier – High projected point total, Falcons playing for a 1st round bye, and the Saints pass defense has been meh… Matt Ryan is a good Tier 1 QB play, and Julio will be the main beneficiary.
Tier 2: Golden Tate – GB @ DET ($6,600)
See Matthew Stafford above. Tate should have a monster night.
Tier 3: Paul Richardson – SEA @ SF ($3,400)
I doubt Russell Wilson plays the entire game, but he’ll play enough to guarantee the W they need to clinch the 1st round bye (ATL also would have to lose or tie).
Tyler Lockett is done for the year, and I expect Richardson to step in and fill the void. He ended last week’s game with 4 catches (5 targets), 42 yards, and a TD and his ceiling is non-existent.
*Tier 1: $5,000+, Tier 2: $5,000-$3,500, Tier 3: Under $3,500
Tier 1: Travis Kelce – KC @ SD ($5,000)
No explanation needed.
Tier 2: Zach Ertz – PHI vs. DAL ($4,800)
Although playing for nothing more than pride, the Eagles hate the Cowboys (who doesn’t), and with a rookie QB, it’s hard to imagine them not wanting to end the year on a high note. His #1 target? You guessed it, Ertz.
Tier 3: Coby Fleener – NO @ ATL ($3,100)
Having flashbacks to the 1st 2 weeks when I was in love with Fleener, and he was Patrick Swayze (1, 2). He ended up resurrecting his season, to an extent, and has pretty good odds to go out on top; as he’ll face the Falcons who he lit up for his only 100 yard game of the season, and have allowed the 5th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
*Tier 1: $3,500+, Tier 2: $3,500-$3,000, Tier 3: Under $3,000
Tier 1: Houston Texans – HOU @ TEN ($3,500)
The Titans have scored an average of 16.3 points per game over the last 3 weeks, and that was with Mariota. Matt Cassel gets the start here, and I’ve found no reason to believe he’ll go revenant on the Texans.
Tier 2: Kansas City Chiefs – KC @ SD ($3,300)
I expect the Chargers to keep this interesting, and possibly put up some points, but they’re also good for a few turnovers, and even more sacks. If I had to bet on a team to put up a DST TD, I’m taking KC all day.
Tier 3: Oakland Raiders – OAK @ DEN ($2,800)
The Broncos have averaged a league-worst 7.7 points per game over the last 3 weeks, have allowed the 5th most sacks on the season (40), and Oakland is tied for 2nd in takeaways per game. Not bad value here.
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