I’m going to switch it up this week. Up to this point in the season, I listed one DraftKings Start of the Week for each position with my rankings, and had a separate post for my DK Clearance plays.
This week, I’m consolidate things into one post, and break down each position by tier. Tier 1 will be your high dollar guys, Tier 2 will be the mid-priced guys, and Tier 3 will be what was before my “Clearance Plays” (guys who are undervalued, but should put up numbers). Let’s see how this goes….
Tier 1: Aaron Rodgers – GB @ TEN ($7,600)
There’s three guys in this tier this week: Brady, Rodgers, and Ryan. Of those three, Rodgers easily has the best matchup. Tennessee has allowed the 14th most fantasy points to opposing QBs, and 3 of the last 4 QBs they’ve faced have gone for over 300 yards passing, and multiple TDs. 2 of those three were Blake Bortles, and Cody Kessler…. You have to like Rodgers here.
Tier 2: Eli Manning – NYG vs. CIN ($5,900)
While Manning has thrown for multiple TDs in only 3 games this season, he has a great opportunity to make it 4 against a Cincinnati defense which has allowed the 6th most passing TDs (16) on the season.
Tier 3: Jay Cutler – CHI @ TB ($5,300)
Over the past 2 weeks, the Bucs defense has allowed 857 passing yards, and 8 TDS. 7 teams have allowed 8 or fewer passing TDs… On the season. Let that sink in for a minute… Last week, in his first game back, Cutler threw for 252 and a TD in a tough matchup against Minnesota. Hard to imagine him not having a huge day.
Tier 1: David Johnson – ARI vs. SF (7,900)
The 49ers defense is terrible. And that’s putting it nicely, as they’ve allowed an average of 193 rushing yards per game. There’s not really a need for analysis, get him in your lineups.
Tier 2: Mark Ingram – NO vs. DEN ($5,400)
The Broncos run defense has been far from dominant this season, having allowed the 7th most fantasy points to opposing RBs, but their pass defense is a different story. Even if Talib, and Ward miss this game, Brees will have to lean on his run game to move the ball… and Ingram ran like a man on the verge of losing his job last week, like a man possessed, like a former Heisman/1st round pick. His benching might just be the spark he needed.
Tier 3: Chris Ivory – JAC vs. HOU ($3,400)
Ivory had his biggest day of the season in Week 9 – first game under new offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett. You can expect the Jags to continue to focus on the ground game this week, and the Texans have proven susceptible to the run. They’ve allowed the 7th most rushing yards, 4th most rushing TDs, and 20.4 ppg to opposing RBs (11th).
Tier 1: Mike Evans – TB vs. CHI ($9,000)
Evans has been dominant, and while the Bears pass defense has been decent from a statistical standpoint, #1 WRs have had their way against them. You may have noticed that the Bucs don’t have many threats in the passing game, and as a result, Evans has received a ridiculous 12.6 targets per game… He’s going to put up numbers.
Tier 2: Alshon Jeffery – CHI @ TB ($6,600)
See Jay Cuter above… Jeffery has yet to go for 100 yards, and a TD in a single game this season. That changes this week.
Tier 3: Rishard Matthews – TEN vs. GB ($4,200)
Matthews has 5 TDs over his past 5 games, and should continue to see plenty of targets this week against GB. The Packers run d has been stout, which should force Mariota to throw a bit more than usual. Great news for Matthews, who is tied for 2nd on the team in receptions.
Tier 1: Jordan Reed – WAS vs. MIN ($6,200)
Yes, tough matchup, and the Vikings should have MLB Eric Kendricks back this week… Reed is matchup proof. The Vikings have yet to allow a TD to a tight end this season, but they’ve allowed over 65 yards per game to TEs. He may not score, but 6 for 80 doesn’t seem too far fetched.
Tier 2: Travis Kelce – KC @ CAR ($5,600)
Kelce is my number 1 ranked TE for the week, so he comes at great value here. The Panthers have been one of the worst teams against opposing TEs, and Maclin is out for this game. Kelce should go off.
Tier 3: Lance Kendricks – LA @ NYJ ($3,000)
8, 9, 12… Kendricks’ targets over the past 3 weeks. 14.4, 12.5, 16… Kendricks’ DK points over the past 3 weeks. The Jets haven’t allowed many TDs to opposing TEs, but expect Kendricks to continue to be a top target for Keenum.
Tier 1: Cardinals – ARI vs. SF ($3,700)
The Cards are coming off a bye, and are home against the 49ers offense… Need I say more?
Tier 2: Redskins – WAS vs. MIN ($3,000)
Over the past 6 games, the Redskins defense has allowed over 20 points just twice, and forced 8 turnovers… And if you’ve seen the Vikings offense in recent weeks, you have to this unit.
Tier 3: Chargers – SD vs. MIA ($2,900)
2nd in INTs, and 10th in sacks, the Chargers defense has gone under the radar. Especially, from a fantasy perspective. They’ve put up double-digit points in 3 of their last 4 games, and put up a respective 5 against the Falcons in the other. The Dolphins have been better offensively as of late, but still like the Chargers to get a couple sacks, and force a few turnovers in this one.
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